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Saturday, August 8, 2020

About the Covid 19 Pandemic

 

A pandemic is an epidemic of an infectious diease that has spread across a large region, for instance multiple continents or worldwide, affecting a substancial number of people.   A widespread endemic disease with a stable number of infected people is not a pandemic.Here is a look at some pandemics that have occured over history  They are listed  in order of the number of deaths that occured.  This is a partial list.Deaths:                 Pandemic                                      Year200 million           Black Death (Bubonic Plague)       1347-135156 m                      Smallpox                                         152040-50 m                  Spanish Flu                                     1918-191930-50 m                  Plague of Justinian                           541-54225-35 m                   HIV/AIDS                                       1981-Present12 m                          The Third Plague                           18555 m                             Antonine Plague                            165-1803 m                             17th Century Great Plagues         16001.1 m                           Asian Flu                                      1957-19581 m                              Russian Flu                                   1889-18901 m                              Hong Kong Flu                              1968-19701 m                              Cholera 6 outbreak                        1817-19231 m                               Japanese Smallpox Epidemic        735-737725,000                        Covid 19                                        2019-present600,000                        18th Century Great Plagues           1700200,000                         Swine Flu                                       2009-2010100-150,000           Yellow Fever                                  Late 180011,300                             Ebola                                            2014-2016850                                  MERS                                           2012-present710                                  SARS                                            2002-2003Source:  Visualcapitalist.comBasic Reproduction Number:  How many suseptible people on average each sick person will infect.Measles: 160     Smallpox: 6.0     Rubella: 6.0     Mumps: 4.5     SARS: 3.5Covid 19: 2.5     Ebola: 2.0     Influenza: 1.5     MERS: 0.8
Current Covid 19 Coronavirus Statistics :                           (Source: Worldometers.info/coronavirus)Active Cases:  6,279,391          Closed Cases:  12,293,551          Recovered:  12,568,841Mild Condition Cases:  6,214,379 (99%)  Serious/Critical Cases:  65,012 (1%)Deaths:  724,710 
This is just some data to look at to draw your conclusions about what is going on regarding the Covid19 pandemic.  I invite you to do so.  Based on where Covid 19 stands on these various lists , I conclude that it is not as threatening as we are led to believe.   Incidently , the tools of  social distancing and quarantining were used in Medieval times to fight the black death Bubonic Plague .No one wants to get sick.  It only makes sense to take precautions to avoid being infected especially if one has other pre-existing conditions .   What troubles me the most, is given the realities of this pandemic, why are we shutting down our country?  We did not shut down for what would appear to be worse  scenarios.  What is the real agenda?
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